Knight Frank projects that residential property prices will appreciate by 24% in the next five years, on the back of a strengthening UK economy, low interest rates and a growing supply-demand imbalance.
In its UK housing market forecast for Q4 2013, Knight Frank is predicting home price growth of 7% both this year and again in 2014, before annual capital growth slows to 4% in 2015 and 3% in both 2017 and 2018.
Knight Frank's forecast follows that of Savills, which estimates that residential property prices will increase by 25% over the next five years.
Although prime central London has led the housing market recovery in recent years, Knight Frank predicts that property price gains in the heart of the capital fall short of the UK average, as buyers look to other parts of the city and the country for better value homes.
Knight Frank expects prime central London to see a slower growth rate of 20% over five years with 6.5% this year and 4% next year. It estimates that the market will stall in 2015 when there will be no increase in prime central London before picking up to 5% growth in 2016, 2017 and 2018.
The property firm expects outer London to grow more strongly than prime central London as market dynamics change.
The report says "modest" improvement in the supply of new-build homes will have minimal impact on property prices in the next few years as the housing shortage continues.
Knight Frank believes that house price growth will be supported mainly by the Help to Buy scheme up to the end of 2016 when the initiative expires, but predicts a stronger economy will be able to cope with a housing market that no longer has a stimulus in place.
Liam Bailey of Knight Frank said: "For the first time in five years we can be broadly positive about the UK housing market. Price growth is encouraging transactions, contributing to labour mobility, and first-time buyers are able to access the market in a way they could not even 12 months ago. Importantly these improvements are not limited to London, they are spreading.
"There is however a flip-side to these improvements. Rising prices in the short term will limit longer-term growth. The fact remains that pricing in the UK is high in historic terms, and while the government can encourage activity over the next two to three years, it cannot change the fundamentals surrounding market affordability, especially as low interest rates and government interventions start to unwind."